1. Anthropogenic shift towards higher risk of flash drought over China
    Yuan, X.*, L. Wang, P. Wu, P. Ji, J. Sheffield, and M. Zhang. Nature Communications: 2019 ,10 ,4661, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-12692-7
  2. Benchmark Decadal Forecast Skill for Terrestrial Water Storage Estimated by an Elasticity Framework
    Zhu, E., X. Yuan*, and A. Wood. Nature Communications: 2019 ,10 ,1237, https://doi.org/doi:10.1038/s41467-019-09245-3
  3. Effect of Teleconnected Land-atmosphere Coupling on Northeast China Persistent Drought in Spring-Summer of 2017
    Zeng, D., X. Yuan*, and J. K. Roundy. Journal of Climate: 2019 ,32 ,7403-7420, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0175.1
  4. More Severe Hydrological Drought Events Emerge at Different Warming Levels over the Wudinghe Watershed in northern China
    Jiao, Y., and X. Yuan*. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences: 2019 ,23 ,621-635, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-621-2019
  5. Mechanisms and Early Warning of Drought Disasters: Experimental Drought Meteorology Research over China
    Li, Y.*, X. Yuan*, H. Zhang, R. Wang, C. Wang, X. Meng, Z. Zhang, S. Wang, Y. Yang, B. Han, K. Zhang, X. Wang, H. Zhao, G. Zhou, Q. Zhang, Q. He, N. Guo, W. Hou, C. Zhang, G. Xiao, X. Sun, P. Yue, S. Sha, H. Wang, T. Zhang, J. Wang, and Y. Yao. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: 2019 ,100 ,673-687, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0029.1
  6. Attribution of the persistent spring-summer hot and dry extremes over Northeast China in 2017
    Wang, S., X. Yuan*, and R. Wu. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: 2019 ,100 (1) ,S85-S89, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0120.1
  7. Underestimation of Warming Trend over Tibetan Plateau during 1998-2013 by Global Land Data Assimilation Systems and Atmospheric Reanalysis
    Ji, P., and X. Yuan*. Journal of Meteorological Research: 2019 ,accepted
  8. Influence of internal variability and global warming on multidecadal changes in regional drought severity over the continental U.S.
    Apurv, T., X. Cai, and X. Yuan. Journal of Hydrometeorology: 2019 ,20 ,411–429, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0167.1
  9. Challenges in predicting and simulating summer rainfall in the eastern China
    Liang, P., Z.-Z. Hu, Y. Liu, X. Yuan, X. Li, and X. Jiang. Climate Dynamics: 2019 ,52 ,2217–2233, doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4256-6
  10. High-resolution land surface modeling of hydrological changes over the Sanjiangyuan region in the eastern Tibetan Plateau: 1. Model development and evaluation
    Yuan, X.*, P. Ji, L. Wang, X.-Z. Liang, K. Yang, A. Ye, Z. Su, and J. Wen. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems: 2018 ,10 ,2806–2828, doi:10.1029/2018MS001412
  11. High-resolution land surface modeling of hydrological changes over the Sanjiangyuan region in the eastern Tibetan Plateau: 2. Impact of climate and land cover change
    Ji, P., and X. Yuan*. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems: 2018 ,10 ,2829–2843, doi:10.1029/2018MS001413
  12. A first look at decadal hydrological predictability by land surface ensemble simulations
    Yuan, X.*, and E. Zhu. Geophysical Research Letters: 2018 ,45 ,2362–2369, doi: 10.1002/2018GL077211
  13. Reconciling the attribution of changes in streamflow extremes from a hydroclimate perspective
    Yuan, X.*, Y. Jiao, D. Yang, and H. Lei. Water Resources Research: 2018 ,54 ,3886-3895, doi:10.1029/2018WR022714
  14. Anthropogenic intensification of southern African flash droughts as exemplified by the 2015/16 season
    Yuan, X.*, L. Wang, and E. F. Wood. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: 2018 ,99 ,S86-S90, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-007.1
  15. Do climate change and El Niño increase likelihood of Yangtze River extreme rainfall?
    Yuan, X.*, S. Wang, and Z. Hu. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: 2018 ,99 ,S113-S117, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0089.1
  16. Extending seasonal predictability of Yangtze River summer floods
    Wang, S., and X. Yuan*. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences: 2018 ,22 ,4201–4211, doi:10.5194/hess-22-4201-2018
  17. Multi-scale land-atmosphere coupling and its application in assessing subseasonal forecasts over East Asia
    Zeng, D., and X. Yuan*. Journal of Hydrometeorology: 2018 ,19 ,745–760, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-17-0215.1
  18. Superensemble seasonal forecasting of soil moisture by NMME
    Yao, M., and X. Yuan*. International Journal of Climatology: 2018 ,38 ,2565–2574, doi:10.1002/joc.5436
  19. Two types of flash droughts over China and their connections with seasonal droughts
    Wang, L., and X. Yuan*. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences: 2018 ,35(12) ,1478–1490, doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-8047-0
  20. Evaluation of Model-based Soil Moisture Drought Monitoring over Three Key Regions in China
    Li, Y., Y. Li, X. Yuan, L. Zhang, and S. Sha. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology: 2018 ,57 ,1989-2004, doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0118.1
  21. Understanding and seasonal forecasting of hydrological drought in the anthropocene
    Yuan, X.*, M. Zhang, L. Wang, and T. Zhou. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences: 2017 ,21 ,5477-5492, doi:10.5194/hess-21-5477-2017
  22. Do lateral flows matter for the hyperresolution land surface modeling?
    Ji, P., X. Yuan*, and X.-Z. Liang. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres: 2017 ,122 ,12,077–12,092, doi:10.1002/2017JD027366
  23. Does a strong El Niño imply a higher predictability of extreme drought?
    Wang, S., X. Yuan*, and Y. Li. Scientific Reports: 2017 ,7, 40741 ,doi: 10.1038/srep40741
  24. An overview of drought monitoring and prediction systems at regional and global scales
    Hao, Z., X. Yuan, Y. Xia, F. Hao, and V. Singh. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: 2017 ,98 ,1879–1896, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00149.1
  25. Hydroclimatic Variability and Predictability: A Survey of Recent Research
    Koster, R. D., Betts, A. K., Dirmeyer, P. A., Bierkens, M., Bennett, K. E., Déry, S. J., Evans, J., Fu, R., Hernandez, F., Leung, L. R., Liang, X., Masood, M., Savenije, H., Wang, G., and Yuan, X.. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences: 2017 ,21 ,3777-3798, doi:10.5194/hess-21-3777-2017
  26. Impact of vegetation dynamics on hydrological processes in a semi-arid basin by using a land surface-hydrology coupled model
    Jiao, Y., H. Lei, D. Yang, M. Huang, D. Liu, and X. Yuan. Journal of Hydrology: 2017 ,551 ,116-131, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.05.060
  27. CFSv2-based sub-seasonal precipitation and temperature forecast skill over the contiguous United States
    Tian, D., E. F. Wood, X. Yuan. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences: 2017 ,21 ,1477-1490, doi:10.5194/hess-21-1477-2017
  28. Water budget closure based on GRACE measurements and reconstructed evapotranspiration using GLDAS and water use data for two large densely-populated mid-latitude basins
    Lv, M., Z. Ma, X. Yuan, M. Lv, M. Li, and Z. Zheng. Journal of Hydrology: 2017 ,547 ,585–599, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.02.027
  29. An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin-Part 1: Understanding the role of initial hydrological conditions
    Yuan, X.*, F. Ma, L. Wang, Z. Zheng, Z. Ma, A. Ye, and S. Peng. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences: 2016 ,20, 2437–2451 ,doi:10.5194/hess-20-2437-2016
  30. An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin-Part 2: The added value from climate forecast models
    Yuan, X.*. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences: 2016 ,20, 2453–2466 ,doi:10.5194/hess-20-2453-2016
  31. Increasing flash droughts over China during the recent global warming hiatus
    Wang, L., X. Yuan*, Z. Xie, P. Wu, and Y. Li. Scientific Reports: 2016 ,6 ,30571, doi: 10.1038/srep30571 Abstract 
  32. Measuring and modelling the impact of a severe drought on terrestrial ecosystem CO2 and water fluxes in a subtropical forest
    Xie, Z., L. Wang, B. Jia, and X. Yuan. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences: 2016 ,121 ,2576–2587, doi:10.1002/2016JG003437
  33. Hydrological monitoring and seasonal forecasting: progresses and perspectives
    Tang, Q., X. Zhang, Q. Duan, S. Huang, X. Yuan, H. Cui, Z. Li, and X. Liu. Journal of Geographical Sciences: 2016 ,26(7), 904-920 ,doi: 10.1007/s11442-016-1306-z
  34. Seasonal forecasting of global hydrologic extremes: system development and evaluation over GEWEX basins
    Yuan, X.*, J. K. Roundy, E. F. Wood, and J. Sheffield. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: 2015 ,96 ,1895-1912, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00003.1.
  35. Microwave remote sensing of short-term droughts during crop growing seasons
    Yuan, X.*, Z. Ma, M. Pan, and C. Shi. Geophysical Research Letters: 2015 ,42, 4394–4401 ,doi:10.1002/2015GL064125
  36. A review on climate-model-based seasonal hydrologic forecasting: physical understanding and system development
    Yuan, X.*, E. F. Wood, and Z. Ma. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water: 2015 ,2, 523–536 ,doi: 10.1002/wat2.1088
  37. Seasonal Drought Predictability and Forecast Skill over China
    Ma, F., X. Yuan*, and A. Ye. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres: 2015 ,120 ,8264–8275, doi:10.1002/2015JD023185
  38. A framework for diagnosing seasonal prediction through canonical event analysis
    Roundy, J. K., X. Yuan, J. Schaake, and E. F. Wood. Monthly Weather Review: 2015 ,143 ,2404-2418, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-14-00190.1
  39. Integrating weather and climate prediction: toward seamless hydrologic forecasting
    Yuan, X.*, E. F. Wood, and M. Liang. Geophysical Research Letters: 2014 ,41 ,5891–5896, doi:10.1002/2014GL061076.
  40. Incorporating reanalysis-based short-term forecasts from a regional climate model in an irrigation scheduling optimization problem
    Hejazi, M., X. Cai, X. Yuan, X.-Z. Liang, and P. Kumar. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management-ASCE: 2014 ,140(5) ,699-713, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943- 5452.0000365
  41. Did a skilful prediction of sea surface temperatures help or hinder forecasting of the 2012 Midwestern US drought?
    Kam, J., J. Sheffield, X. Yuan, and E. F. Wood. Environmental Research Letters: 2014 ,9 ,034005, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/034005
  42. A Drought Monitoring and Forecasting System for Sub-Sahara African Water Resources and Food Security
    Sheffield, J., E. F. Wood, N. Chaney, K. Guan, S. Sadri, X. Yuan, L. Olang, A. Amani, A. Ali, S. Demuth, and L. Ogallo. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: 2014 ,95 ,861-882, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00124.1
  43. Attribution of hydrologic forecast uncertaity within scalable forecast windows
    Yang, L., F. Tian, Y. Sun, X. Yuan, and H. Hu. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences: 2014 ,18 ,775-786, doi:10.5194/hess-18-775-2014
  44. Hydrologic post-processing of MOPEX streamflow simulations
    Ye, A., Q. Duan, X. Yuan, E. F. Wood, and J. Schaake. Journal of Hydrology: 2014 ,508 ,147-156, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.10.055
  45. CFSv2-based seasonal hydroclimatic forecasts over conterminous United States
    Yuan, X.*, E. F. Wood, J. K. Roundy, and M. Pan. Journal of Climate: 2013 ,26 ,4828-4847, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00683.1
  46. Multimodel seasonal forecasting of global drought onset
    Yuan, X.*, and E. F. Wood. Geophysical Research Letters: 2013 ,40 ,4900-4905, doi:10.1002/grl.50949
  47. Probabilistic Seasonal Forecasting of African Drought by Dynamical Models
    Yuan, X.*, E. F. Wood, N. W. Chaney, J. Sheffield, J. Kam, M. Liang, and K. Guan. Journal of Hydrometeorology: 2013 ,14 ,1706-1720, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-13-054.1
  48. The influence of Atlantic Tropical Cyclones on Drought over the Eastern US (1980-2007)
    Kam, J., J. Sheffield, X. Yuan, and E. F. Wood. Journal of Climate: 2013 ,26 ,3067-3086, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00244.1
  49. A Probabilistic Framework for Assessing Drought Recovery
    Pan, M., X. Yuan, and E. F. Wood. Geophysical Research Letters: 2013 ,40 ,3637-3642, doi:10.1002/grl.50728
  50. Incorporating groundwater dynamics and surface/subsurface runoff mechanisms in regional climate modeling over river basins in China
    Qin, P., Z. Xie, and X. Yuan. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences: 2013 ,30 ,983-996, doi:10.1007/s00376-012-2095-7
  51. Downscaling precipitation or bias-correcting streamflow? Some implications for coupled general circulation model (CGCM)-based ensemble seasonal hydrologic forecast
    Yuan, X.*, and E. F. Wood. Water Resources Research: 2012 ,48 ,W12519, doi:10.1029/2012WR012256
  52. WRF ensemble downscaling seasonal forecasts of China winter precipitation during 1982-2008
    Yuan, X.*, X.-Z. Liang, and E.F. Wood. Climate Dynamics: 2012 ,39 ,2041-2058, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1241-8
  53. On the clustering of climate models in ensemble seasonal forecasting
    Yuan, X.*, and E. F. Wood. Geophysical Research Letters: 2012 ,39 ,L18701, doi:10.1029/2012GL052735
  54. Regional Climate-Weather Research and Forecasting Model (CWRF)
    Liang, X.-Z., M. Xu, X. Yuan, T. Ling, H.I. Choi, F. Zhang, L. Chen, S. Liu, S. Su, F. Qiao, Y. He, J.X.L. Wang, K.E. Kunkel, W.Gao, E. Joseph, V. Morris, T.-W. Yu, J. Dudhia, and J. Michalakes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: 2012 ,93 ,1363-1387, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00180.1
  55. A first look at Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) for hydrological seasonal prediction
    Yuan, X.*, E. F. Wood, L. Luo, and M. Pan. Geophysical Research Letters: 2011 ,38 ,L13402, doi:10.1029/2011GL047792
  56. Improving cold season precipitation prediction by the nested CWRF-CFS system
    Yuan, X., and X.-Z. Liang. Geophysical Research Letters: 2011 ,38 ,L02706, doi:10.1029/2010GL046104
  57. Evaluation of a Conjunctive Surface-Subsurface Process Model (CSSP) over the contiguous United States at regional-local scales
    Yuan, X., and X.-Z. Liang. Journal of Hydrometeorology: 2011 ,12 ,579-599, doi:10.1175/2010JHM1302.1
  58. Prediction of water table depths under soil water-groundwater interaction and stream water conveyance
    Di, Z., Z. Xie, X. Yuan, X. Tian, Z. Luo, and Y. Chen. Science in China Series D-Earth Sciences: 2011 ,54 ,420-430, doi:10.1007/s11430-010-4050-8
  59. Prediction of water table under stream-aquifer interactions over an arid region
    Xie, Z., and X. Yuan. Hydrological Processes: 2010 ,24 ,160-169, doi:10.1002/hyp.7434
  60. Sensitivity of regionalized transfer function noise models to the input and parameter transfer method
    Yuan, X., Z. Xie, and M. Liang. Hydrological Sciences Journal-Journal des Sciences Hydrologiques: 2009 ,54 ,639-651, doi:10.1623/hysj.54.3.639
  61. Effects of water table dynamics on regional climate: A case study over east Asian monsoon area
    Yuan, X., Z. Xie, J. Zheng, X. Tian and Z.-L. Yang. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmosphere: 2008 ,113 ,D21112, doi:10.1029/2008JD010180
  62. Spatiotemporal prediction of shallow water table depths in continental China
    Yuan, X., Z. Xie, and M. Liang. Water Resources Research: 2008 ,44 ,W04414, doi:10.1029/2006WR005453
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